❋
ALIS DESIGN+ Market Update
Biggest shift in project management since January: From my desk, the biggest shift is the sudden, aggressive pivot away from ground-up builds and straight into adaptive reuse and renovation projects. This matters because it completely changes our project lifecycles, risk profiles, and scheduling baselines. Instead of starting with a clean slate, my teams are constantly managing the unknowns of existing structures, which requires immediate, intensive field verification to keep schedules from slipping before we even break ground.
How the challenge/opportunity needle has moved in 2026 – and strategies for recalibrating: The challenge needle has swung heavily into execution risk, specifically regarding critical-path scheduling and budget management under high financing costs. We can no longer treat design and procurement as sequential phases. To mitigate lead-time bottlenecks, I am pulling procurement agents into early schematic design, forcing a shift to "procurement-driven design." We are recalibrating by securing early commitments on long-lead mechanical equipment and long-lead finishes well before construction documentation is finalized.
One “assumption” from the beginning of the year that no longer holds true: In January, we structured our master schedules around the assumption that interest rates would drop by mid-year, which would loosen owner capital and trigger a flood of project approvals. That did not happen. With rates remaining higher for longer, funding is tightly controlled, and cash flow constraints are real. I can no longer count on quick change-order approvals or contingency buffers; we have to run exceptionally lean operations and tightly control project scope from day one.
Whether the biggest changes in project management came from demand, capital/budgets or execution - and how to respond: Capital and budgets have definitely changed the most, and it is directly straining project execution. While guest demand for completed hotels is steady, the money to build them is incredibly expensive. Combined with ongoing skilled labor shortages, we are facing constant pressure to do more with less. Top Shelf's cost management services during the design phase are more important in the current climate than ever before. We are able to make value engineering a continuous, frontline process from day one, rather than a painful cost-cutting exercise we do when a project goes over budget.
Where to lean in harder and where to pull back: I am leaning heavily into modular construction elements, pre-fabricated sub-assemblies, and AI-driven tracking software to optimize our onsite labor and field productivity. On the flip side, I am pulling back from complex, custom overseas materials with single-source supply chains. If a material cannot be reliably sourced or substituted domestically, it is a risk to my schedule that I am simply refusing to take right now.
